tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4441644100824155092.post7231550460230807643..comments2023-03-10T00:27:53.133-08:00Comments on WHPICTURES: Battle Report: 75 Points, Menoth vs. TrollsAlan O'Bryanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15148817831401751202noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4441644100824155092.post-38671319596561702582016-01-07T12:17:05.535-08:002016-01-07T12:17:05.535-08:00Huh, i guess i should have been more confident :) ...Huh, i guess i should have been more confident :) <br /><br />It always feels scary when a relatively squishy caster like Sevy is anywhere near the enemy, let alone within range of 2 different gargantuans. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07340247183218387117noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4441644100824155092.post-58459393408325563382016-01-07T10:58:16.209-08:002016-01-07T10:58:16.209-08:00My gut instinct was that your calculation was too ...My gut instinct was that your calculation was too low, but in fact it was too generous to me! I designed an Excel spreadsheet simulation to calculate the probability of success for each hit along with the damage roll minus armor (with a minimum of 0). I even included the probabilities for knocking the caster down with the GK using nested if statements and the subsequent damage rolls for the rest of the attacks maximized for damage (no boosting to attack). It turns out that, in 6000 simulations, the attack run was successful about 2.4% of the time. That makes me want to take another lap around the game store to celebrate my luck. :-)Alan O'Bryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15148817831401751202noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4441644100824155092.post-50181192777826431002016-01-06T23:23:45.124-08:002016-01-06T23:23:45.124-08:00Just some quick napkin math, you're assassinat...Just some quick napkin math, you're assassination run was like 6.7%.so Joe, Sevy actually was pretty safe. If you had needed to knockdown sevy, I know you didn't need to, just bear with me, it was more like ~1.4% to kill. <br />Other than that great report, I love the thematic stuff alsoAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16575676432356900690noreply@blogger.com